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Pálpito

Politics

Who Wins the Brazilian Presidency in 2026?

ResultsPaysYesNo

Lula

6.3x

Flávio Bolsonaro

1.1x

Other candidate

16.7x

See all 3 markets

Sports

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Sports · Soccer · Champions League

Atlético de Madrid vs Manchester United (UEFA Champions League)

Atlético de Madrid1.8x2.1x

Draw3.4x1.4x

+1 market

$239.3 Vol. · Closes today

Sports · Soccer · Champions League

Galatasaray vs Barcelona (UEFA Champions League)

Barcelona1.3x4.2x

Draw6.7x1.1x

+1 market

$175.8 Vol. · Closes today

Sports · Soccer · Champions League

Manchester City vs PSG (UEFA Champions League)

Manchester City2.2x1.7x

PSG2.9x1.4x

+1 market

$184.72 Vol. · 1 day left

Sports · Soccer · Champions League

Roma vs Real Madrid (UEFA Champions League)

Real Madrid1.9x2x

Roma3.6x1.3x

+1 market

$163.46 Vol. · 1 day left

Sports · Soccer · Copa Libertadores

Fluminense vs Palmeiras (Copa Libertadores, first leg)

Palmeiras2.3x1.7x

Fluminense2.3x1.7x

+1 market

$180.96 Vol. · 1 day left

Sports · Soccer · Copa Libertadores

Estudiantes vs Flamengo (Copa Libertadores, first leg)

Flamengo2.1x1.8x

Estudiantes2.6x1.5x

+1 market

$165.38 Vol. · 2 days left

Crypto

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Crypto

In what USD price range does FARTCOIN close on October 13, 2026?

USD $0.15 to USD $0.181x11.1x

Below USD $0.1520x1.3x

+2 markets

$388.1 Vol. · Closes today

Crypto

Crypto race of the week (Oct 12 to 18): who performs best, Bitcoin, Ethereum or Solana?

Bitcoin1.8x2x

Ethereum2.7x1.4x

+1 market

$137 Vol. · 5 days left

Crypto

Memecoin race of the week (Oct 12 to 18): who performs best, DOGE, PEPE or TRUMP?

PEPE2.2x1.7x

TRUMP2.6x1.5x

+1 market

$155.24 Vol. · 5 days left

Crypto

In what USD price range does PUMP close on October 18, 2026?

Below USD $0.00501.8x2x

USD $0.0050 to USD $0.00583.3x1.3x

+2 markets

$258.54 Vol. · 5 days left

Crypto

In what USD price range does PENGU close on October 18, 2026?

Below USD $0.00752.2x1.7x

USD $0.0075 to USD $0.00852.7x1.4x

+2 markets

$257.88 Vol. · 5 days left

Crypto

In what USD price range does TRUMP close on October 18, 2026?

USD $1.70 to USD $1.902.6x1.5x

USD $1.90 to USD $2.103x1.4x

+2 markets

$252.6 Vol. · 5 days left

Politics

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Politics

Does Lula win the presidential re-election in Brazil?

pays 5.9xpays 1.1x

$2.8K Vol.

Politics

Who Wins the Brazilian Presidency in 2026?

Flávio Bolsonaro1.1x6.7x

Lula6.3x1.1x

+1 market

$1.1K Vol.

Politics

Does Claudia Sheinbaum Exceed 70% Approval in El Financiero's October 2026 Poll?

pays 1.5xpays 2.9x

$86.68 Vol.

Politics

Does the Federal Prosecutor's Office File Criminal Charges Against "Lulinha" (Lula's Son)?

pays 11.1xpays 1.1x

$83.58 Vol.

Politics

Does Alexandre de Moraes Resign or Get Removed as an STF Justice?

pays 14.3xpays 1.1x

$120 Vol.

Politics

Will the United States Sign a New Trade Agreement With a Latin American Country in 2026?

México5x1.2x

Brasil7.7x1.1x

+1 market

$201.8 Vol.

Economy

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Economy · Commodities

Gold (LBMA): Where does it close on Friday, October 16, 2026?

> $4,3001.8x2.1x

> $4,4002.7x1.5x

+1 market

$88.3 Vol. · 3 days left

Economy · Commodities

Mexican Oil (Mixture): Where does it close on Friday, October 16, 2026?

> $901.4x3.4x

> $952x2x

+1 market

$108.16 Vol. · 3 days left

Economy

Deuda externa neta del Gobierno Federal de México: ¿Supera los $160,000 millones de dólares en el reporte del tercer trimestre de 2026?

pays 3.1xpays 1.4x

$23.92 Vol. · 7 days left

Economy · GDP

Did Mexico's economy grow more than 0.3% in the third quarter of 2026?

pays 1.6xpays 2.4x

$38.44 Vol.

Economy

Will Mexico's 2027 minimum wage rise at least 10% (double digits)?

pays 1.4xpays 3x

$30 Vol.

Economy

Will the tortilla break $25 pesos per kilo before the end of the year?

pays 4.3xpays 1.3x

$72.56 Vol.

Geopolitics

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Geopolitics

Does the Argentine Government Present a Formal "One Country, Two Systems" Proposal for the Falkland Islands (Malvinas) Before December 31, 2026?

pays 11.1xpays 1.1x

$99.54 Vol.

Geopolitics

Does the U.S. Justice System File Criminal Charges Against Gustavo Petro Before December 31, 2026?

pays 1.9xpays 2x

$62.42 Vol.

Politics

Will the United States Sign a New Trade Agreement With a Latin American Country in 2026?

México5x1.2x

Brasil7.7x1.1x

+1 market

$201.8 Vol.

Geopolitics

Does the U.S. Order an Official Renaming of New Mexico Before 2027?

pays 9.1xpays 1.1x

$72.66 Vol.

Geopolitics

Is Rubén Rocha Moya in U.S. custody before December 31, 2026?

pays 25xpays 1x

$190.36 Vol.

Geopolitics

Does Venezuela become the 51st state of the United States before December 31, 2026?

pays 20xpays 1x

$167.68 Vol.

Entertainment

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Entertainment · Awards

Will Edgar Barrera win Songwriter of the Year at the 2026 Latin Grammy?

pays 1.5xpays 2.6x

$52.54 Vol.

Entertainment · Awards

Latin Grammy 2026 · Who Wins Best New Artist?

Macario Martínez2x2x

Aria Vega2x2x

+9 markets

$10 Vol.

Entertainment · Awards

Latin Grammy 2026 · Who Wins Album of the Year?

Karol G4x1.2x

Rosalía5.3x1.2x

+8 markets

$359.04 Vol.

Entertainment

Does Mexico retain the Miss Universe crown in 2026?

pays 9.1xpays 1.1x

$233.72 Vol.

Entertainment

Who wins La Granja VIP 2026?

Niurka Marcos8.3x1.1x

Manelyk Gonzalez8.3x1.1x

+16 markets

$653.44 Vol.

Entertainment · Awards

Oscar 2027 · Will "La Bola Negra" crack the Best Picture lineup?

pays 2.4xpays 1.6x

$130 Vol.

Technology

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Technology · Big Tech

Will the day-one shipping (Oct 23) of the iPhone Duo on apple.com US sell out within the first 3 hours of pre-order?

pays 2.9xpays 1.5x

$137.48 Vol. · 3 days left

Technology · Big Tech

Will Apple delay the iPhone Duo availability beyond October 23, 2026 in the US?

pays 1.5xpays 8.3x

$126.52 Vol.

Technology · Video Games

Will the Switch 2 Zelda 40th Anniversary Edition sell out on the Nintendo US store on launch day?

pays 2xpays 1.8x

$112.52 Vol.

Technology · Fintech

Will the CNBV registry exceed 80 ITFs in operation by October 31, 2026?

pays 2.4xpays 1.6x

$74.8 Vol.

Technology · Big Tech

Will GPT-6 Astra be available to free ChatGPT users before October 31, 2026?

pays 3.8xpays 1.3x

$43 Vol.

Technology · Video Games

Will Xbox original games come to Windows/Project Helix in October 2026, according to the leaked plan?

pays 2.4xpays 1.6x

$47.44 Vol.

Weather

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New

Weather

Will the maximum temperature in Mexico City exceed 25.5 °C on October 14, 2026?

pays 1.8xpays 2x

$51.72 Vol. · 1 day left

New

Weather

Will the minimum temperature in Mexico City drop below 15.5 °C on October 14, 2026?

pays 1.6xpays 2.3x

$30 Vol. · 1 day left

New

Weather

Will the maximum temperature in Mexico City exceed 25.5 °C on October 15, 2026?

pays 1.6xpays 2.3x

$30 Vol. · 2 days left

New

Weather

Will the minimum temperature in Mexico City drop below 13.5 °C on October 15, 2026?

pays 4.3xpays 1.2x

$30 Vol. · 2 days left

Weather

Will system 92E (possible Simon) make landfall in Mexico as a hurricane?

pays 1.3xpays 4.2x

$163 Vol. · 7 days left

Weather

Will October break Mexico's heat record?

pays 4xpays 1.3x

$368.42 Vol.