Pálpito

Politics

Does Lula win the presidential re-election in Brazil?

10%chance46

Time	Yes
2026-06-16T23:26:59.000Z	56.0%
2026-06-17T23:27:00.000Z	56.0%
2026-06-20T23:27:00.000Z	56.0%
2026-06-22T23:27:00.000Z	56.0%
2026-06-24T23:27:00.000Z	56.0%
2026-06-27T23:27:00.000Z	50.0%
2026-06-29T23:27:00.000Z	50.0%
2026-07-01T23:27:00.000Z	50.0%
2026-07-04T23:27:00.000Z	50.0%
2026-07-06T23:27:00.000Z	50.0%
2026-07-08T23:27:00.000Z	50.0%
2026-07-11T23:27:00.000Z	50.0%
2026-07-13T23:27:00.000Z	50.0%
2026-07-16T23:27:00.000Z	50.0%
2026-07-18T23:27:00.000Z	50.0%
2026-07-20T23:27:00.000Z	56.0%
2026-07-23T23:27:00.000Z	56.0%
2026-07-25T23:27:00.000Z	56.0%
2026-07-27T23:27:00.000Z	56.0%
2026-07-30T23:27:00.000Z	56.0%
2026-08-01T23:27:00.000Z	56.0%
2026-08-03T23:27:00.000Z	56.0%
2026-08-06T23:27:00.000Z	56.0%
2026-08-08T23:27:00.000Z	56.0%
2026-08-10T23:27:00.000Z	56.0%
2026-08-13T23:27:00.000Z	56.0%
2026-08-15T23:27:00.000Z	56.0%
2026-08-17T23:27:00.000Z	56.0%
2026-08-20T23:27:00.000Z	61.0%
2026-08-22T23:27:00.000Z	61.0%
2026-08-24T23:27:00.000Z	61.0%
2026-08-27T23:27:00.000Z	61.0%
2026-08-29T23:27:00.000Z	60.0%
2026-08-31T23:27:00.000Z	60.0%
2026-09-03T23:27:00.000Z	60.0%
2026-09-05T23:27:00.000Z	58.0%
2026-09-07T23:27:00.000Z	58.0%
2026-09-10T23:27:00.000Z	57.0%
2026-09-12T23:27:00.000Z	57.0%
2026-09-15T23:27:00.000Z	56.0%
2026-09-17T23:27:00.000Z	56.0%
2026-09-19T23:27:00.000Z	56.0%
2026-09-22T23:27:00.000Z	56.0%
2026-09-24T23:27:00.000Z	56.0%
2026-09-26T23:27:00.000Z	56.0%
2026-09-29T23:27:00.000Z	61.0%
2026-10-01T23:27:00.000Z	62.0%
2026-10-03T23:27:00.000Z	62.0%
2026-10-06T23:27:00.000Z	17.0%
2026-10-09T10:11:50.000Z	10.0%

Does Lula win the presidential re-election in Brazil?

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