Will the Chamber of Deputies Appoint the New INE President Before December 15, 2026?

Market context

Guadalupe Taddei resigned as head of the INE on October 26. Ricardo Monreal estimates four to five weeks to choose her successor, with a two-thirds vote. Will they do it before the session ends?

Resolution criteria

• How it resolvesResolves Yes if, between the date and time this market's status changes to open on Pálpito and December 15, 2026 at 23:59 Mexico City time (05:59:00 UTC on December 16, 2026), the person who will hold the post of Presiding Councilor of the General Council of the National Electoral Institute (INE), filling the vacancy left by Guadalupe Taddei Zavala, is appointed, either by a vote of the floor of the Chamber of Deputies or by a drawing of lots (insaculación) under article 41 of the Constitution, no matter who the appointed person is. It counts even if the swearing-in happens after the deadline. An appointment that a court later annuls does not change the result. The provisional or interim presidency chosen by the INE General Council does not count. Resolves No in any other case. Resolution source: the Parliamentary Gazette of the Chamber of Deputies (gaceta.diputados.gob.mx); backup source: the Official Gazette of the Federation (dof.gob.mx) and the official INE press releases (centralelectoral.ine.mx); if none of them publishes the appointment, at least two of Reuters, AP, El Universal, Reforma and Milenio decide. Trading in this market closes on December 15, 2026 at 23:59 Mexico City time (05:59:00 UTC on December 16, 2026); the result is decided by the events up to the deadline, even if they become known after the close.
• When it closesDecember 16, 2026 at 5:59 AM