PlayStation fans: will Sony report 3 million or more PS5 units shipped between July and September?

Market context

Did you know Sony shipped 3.9 million PS5 units between July and September 2025? But between April and June 2026 it shipped 1.6 million, 36% fewer than a year earlier. Context: 1. As of June 30, 2026 Sony has shipped 95.3 million PS5 units in total. 2. Sony says it already has the memory it needs to build the consoles it plans to sell this fiscal year. 3. GTA VI comes out on November 19, 2026, and stores build stock before the launch. For: stock for GTA VI can reach stores from September. Against: the previous quarter fell 36%, and part of that stock may arrive only in October or November. Data as of October 28, 2026. Source: Sony Group, quarterly results. Closes on November 4 at 23:59 Mexico City time. What's your Pálpito?

Resolution criteria

• How it resolvesResolves «Yes» if: Sony Group reports 3.0 million or more PlayStation 5 units shipped in the three months ended September 30, 2026, in its results for the second quarter of fiscal year 2026. Resolves «No» if: the reported figure is below 3.0 million. Edge case: a figure of exactly 3.0 million resolves «Yes». The figure is used as Sony publishes it, with one decimal. Cutoff: the market closes at 23:59:00 Mexico City time on November 4, 2026 (05:59:00 UTC on November 5, 2026), before the results are published. If delayed: if Sony does not publish the figure before November 19, 2026, it resolves «No». Primary source: Sony Group supplemental results materials (sony.com/en/SonyInfo/IR). Backup: the Game & Network Services segment results presentation.
• When it closesNovember 5, 2026 at 5:59 AM
• Verification sourceSony Group, materiales complementarios de resultados (https://www.sony.com/en/SonyInfo/IR/)