Does the Federal Prosecutor's Office File Criminal Charges Against "Lulinha" (Lula's Son)?

Market context

Lula's son is under the scrutiny of the Federal Police over alleged influence peddling tied to a fraud of more than R$6.3 billion in pension benefits. The PGR itself says it found no evidence against him. Will it end in a formal indictment?

Resolution criteria

• How it resolvesResolves Yes if the Federal Public Prosecutor's Office files a formal criminal charge against Fábio Luís Lula da Silva related to Operação Sem Desconto before December 31, 2026. Resolves No if no such charge is filed before that date, whether because the case is dismissed, transferred to another jurisdiction without a formal charge, or remains under investigation without resolution before the deadline.