Will Sheinbaum's government present an initiative to regulate social media and AI for minors before December 31, 2026?

Market context

Sheinbaum's government held regional forums (August 19 in Nuevo Leon, September 3 in Chiapas, September 17 in Guerrero) to build a proposal regulating the use of digital platforms, social media and artificial intelligence among children and adolescents. The president stated the goal is to deliver the initiative to Congress for the next legislative period. With the forums now concluded, the question is whether the initiative is formally presented before the end of 2026 or slips into the 2027 period.

Resolution criteria

• How it resolvesResolves YES if before December 31, 2026 the federal Executive formally presents to any chamber of the Congress of the Union an initiative regulating the use of digital platforms, social media or artificial intelligence with an explicit focus on the protection of minors. Resolves NO if by December 31, 2026 no such initiative has been formally presented, including the case where only forums, announcements or statements exist without a formal presentation to Congress. Verification source: the Sistema de Información Legislativa (sil.gobernacion.gob.mx) or official Presidency announcements (gob.mx/presidencia). The market closes on December 31, 2026 at 23:59 Mexico City time (05:59:00 UTC on January 1, 2027).
• When it closesJanuary 1, 2027 at 5:59 AM
• Verification sourceSistema de Información Legislativa (https://sil.gobernacion.gob.mx)