US Governors 2026: Which Party Wins in Each State?

Market context

These are some of the closest governor elections of November 3. Each state resolves on its own: the party of the winning candidate wins. Democrat or Republican?

Resolution criteria

• How it resolvesResolves Democrat if Associated Press (AP) declares that the candidate of the Democratic Party wins the November 3, 2026 Ohio governor election, and resolves Republican if AP declares that the candidate of the Republican Party wins. A party's candidate is the person on the general election ballot as that party's candidate or, where the ballot shows each person's affiliation, with that affiliation; if more than one person has the same affiliation, any of them counts. If the winner is not the candidate of either party, it resolves to the party whose candidate placed higher in the final result, that is, the one with more votes; in a ranked-choice election, the one eliminated in a later round or, if both remain in the same round, the one with more votes in that round. A party with no candidate on the ballot counts as last place. If the election goes to a runoff, the runoff result counts. The party the winner joins later does not matter. The last AP call in effect on January 31, 2027 at 23:59 Mexico City time (05:59:00 UTC on February 1, 2027) counts; if AP has not called a winner by then, the official result certified by the Ohio election authority decides and, if that does not exist either, the party leading the most recent official count published by that authority. Resolution source: Associated Press (apnews.com); backup source: the Ohio election authority. Trading in this market closes the night before the election, on November 2, 2026 at 23:59 US Eastern time (22:59 Mexico City time; 04:59:00 UTC on November 3, 2026); the result is decided by the events up to the deadline, even if they become known after the close.
• When it closesNovember 3, 2026 at 4:59 AM