Pump or dump: which does ETH hit first, $2,400 or $1,700?

Market context

Pump or dump? Ethereum has two paths: up to $2,400 or down to $1,700. Which comes first? There is no fixed date: the market is decided the moment Ethereum touches one of the two prices.

Resolution criteria

• How it resolvesPump wins if Ethereum (ETHUSDT) touches $2,400 BEFORE it touches $1,700. Dump wins if it touches $1,700 BEFORE it touches $2,400. Ethereum touches $2,400 when the 'high' field of a ETHUSDT 1-minute candle is GREATER THAN OR EQUAL TO 2,400. It touches $1,700 when the 'low' field of a 1-minute candle is LESS THAN OR EQUAL TO 1,700. Window: from the 1-minute candle that opens at 00:00:00 UTC on Tuesday, November 10, 2026 (18:00 on Monday, November 9, 2026, Mexico City time) to the 1-minute candle that opens at 05:59:00 UTC on Wednesday, January 1, 2031 (23:59 on Tuesday, December 31, 2030, Mexico City time), inclusive. The price that is touched first counts, by the candle open time. If one 1-minute candle touches both prices, the Binance 1-second candles of that minute are used; if both are touched in the same second, the price nearest to the 'close' field of that 1-second candle wins. The market closes when Ethereum touches one of the two prices; trades made after the touch do not change the result. If at the end of the window Ethereum has touched neither price, Pump wins if the 'close' field of the last candle is GREATER THAN OR EQUAL TO $2,050, and Dump wins otherwise. Source: Binance spot, public endpoint https://data-api.binance.vision/api/v3/klines?symbol=ETHUSDT&interval=1m. If Binance does not publish ETHUSDT 1-minute candles for part of the window, for that part the CoinGecko USD price of Ethereum is used (5-minute points): a price greater than or equal to $2,400 or less than or equal to $1,700 counts as a touch. If neither source has data for part of the window, the market is resolved manually with the best public information available.… See moreSee less
• When it closesJanuary 1, 2031, 5:59 am UTC
• Verification sourcehttps://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT?type=spot