Will Condusef exceed 90,000 complaints for possible financial fraud in all of 2026? | Pálpito
TecnologíaWill Condusef exceed 90,000 complaints for possible financial fraud in all of 2026?
Will Condusef exceed 90,000 complaints for possible financial fraud in all of 2026?
Tecnología
Will Condusef exceed 90,000 complaints for possible financial fraud in all of 2026?
Tecnología
Will Condusef exceed 90,000 complaints for possible financial fraud in all of 2026?
Volume
$25
Pálpitos
20
Closes
Mar 1
Probability
51%·Yes
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Market context
Condusef reports complaints for possible fraud. In H1 2026 it recorded 43,871 (+16.7% YoY). The linear full-year projection is around ~87,742. The 90,000 threshold captures whether fraud accelerates in H2 2026.
Resolution criteria
How it resolvesResolves YES if Condusef's 2026 annual report shows more than 90,000 complaints for possible fraud (January-December 2026). Resolves NO if it reports 90,000 or fewer, or if the report is not published before March 31, 2027. Source: Condusef's official portal. The market closes on February 28, 2027 at 23:59 Mexico City time (05:59:00 UTC on March 1, 2027).
When it closesMarch 1, 2027 at 5:59 AM
Verification sourceCondusef, portal oficial (https://www.condusef.gob.mx)
Timeline & payout
Market opened · done
Market closes · in progress
The result is decided · pendingUsually within 24 h of the close
Projected payout · pendingAbout 2 minutes after the result