Will Mónica Soto Fregoso Be the New President of the INE?

Market context

Guadalupe Taddei resigned as head of the INE on October 26. The Chamber of Deputies will choose who finishes her term, with a two-thirds vote. Mónica Soto, a former Electoral Tribunal justice, is the name heard most. Will they choose her?

Resolution criteria

• How it resolvesResolves Yes if, between the date and time this market's status changes to open on Pálpito and January 31, 2027 at 23:59 Mexico City time (05:59:00 UTC on February 1, 2027), the Chamber of Deputies appoints Mónica Aralí Soto Fregoso as Presiding Councilor of the General Council of the National Electoral Institute (INE) to fill the vacancy left by Guadalupe Taddei Zavala. The appointment approved by the floor of the Chamber of Deputies counts, as does one that results from a drawing of lots (insaculación) under article 41 of the Constitution, even if the swearing-in happens after the deadline. An appointment that a court later annuls does not change the result. The provisional or interim presidency chosen by the INE General Council does not count. If the Chamber appoints another person, or if no one has been appointed by the deadline, it resolves No. Resolves No in any other case. Resolution source: the Parliamentary Gazette of the Chamber of Deputies (gaceta.diputados.gob.mx); backup source: the Official Gazette of the Federation (dof.gob.mx) and the official INE press releases (centralelectoral.ine.mx); if none of them publishes the appointment, at least two of Reuters, AP, El Universal, Reforma and Milenio decide. Trading in this market closes on January 31, 2027 at 23:59 Mexico City time (05:59:00 UTC on February 1, 2027); the result is decided by the events up to the deadline, even if they become known after the close.
• When it closesFebruary 1, 2027 at 5:59 AM
• Verification sourcehttps://gaceta.diputados.gob.mx