Does Venezuela become the 51st state of the United States before December 31, 2026? | Pálpito
GeopolíticaDoes Venezuela become the 51st state of the United States before December 31, 2026?
Geopolítica
Does Venezuela become the 51st state of the United States before December 31, 2026?
Closes on January 1, 2027
Does Venezuela become the 51st state of the United States before December 31, 2026?
Closes on January 1, 2027
Volume
$75
Pálpitos
14
Probability
5%·Yes
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Market context
Resolves only with formal admission by law of the U.S. Congress; declarations, executive orders or territorial status do not count.
Resolution criteria
How it resolvesResolve Yes only if a law for the admission of Venezuela as a state of the Union is approved by both houses of the United States Congress and enacted on or before December 31, 2026, 23:59 Mexico City time. Presidential statements, executive orders, occupation, de facto administration, or any status other than state (territory, protectorate, etc.) don't count. Resolve No in any other case.