Does the Venezuelan CNE announce a presidential election date before December 31, 2026? | Pálpito
GeopolíticaDoes the Venezuelan CNE announce a presidential election date before December 31, 2026?
Geopolítica
Does the Venezuelan CNE announce a presidential election date before December 31, 2026?
Closes on January 1, 2027
Does the Venezuelan CNE announce a presidential election date before December 31, 2026?
Closes on January 1, 2027
Volume
$278
Pálpitos
20
Probability
43%·Yes
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Market context
Resolves with the official announcement of a presidential election date by the recognized Venezuelan electoral authority; rumors, unofficial proposals or tentative schedules do not count.
Resolution criteria
How it resolvesResolve Yes if the National Electoral Council (CNE) of Venezuela, or the successor electoral body recognized by the acting government of Venezuela at the time of the announcement, officially announces a specific date for the holding of presidential elections, on or before December 31, 2026, 23:59 Mexico City time. The announced date may be in or out of 2026; what matters is that the official announcement is made during the market period. They don't count: unofficial proposals, tentative schedules, press rumors, or statements by officials without a formal communication from the electoral body. It is verified by an official statement from the CNE; failing that, the Reuters report. Resolve No if there is no qualified official announcement in the period.