Does the U.S. Justice System File Criminal Charges Against Gustavo Petro Before December 31, 2026?

Market context

Gustavo Petro has left the presidency and, with it, his diplomatic immunity. The DEA has him as a priority target, and two U.S. prosecutors' offices are investigating his possible ties to drug trafficking. Will he end the year formally charged?

Resolution criteria

• How it resolvesResolves Yes if any federal or state prosecutor's office in the United States formally files criminal charges or announces an indictment against Gustavo Petro Urrego, former president of Colombia, at any point before December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Eastern Time (ET). Resolves No if no such indictment is filed before that date, whether because the investigation is dismissed, remains open without resolution, or concludes without formal charges.