Does Claudia Sheinbaum Exceed 70% Approval in El Financiero's October 2026 Poll?

Market context

El Financiero publishes its national presidential approval poll every month. In August Claudia Sheinbaum stood at 68% and in September she hit exactly 70%. This market tracks the October reading: whether it exceeds 70%, that is, 71% or more. The threshold is strict: an exact 70% counts as No.

Resolution criteria

• How it resolvesResolves Yes if El Financiero's monthly national presidential approval poll for October 2026 reports a Claudia Sheinbaum approval level above 70% (that is, strictly greater than 70%). Resolves No if that reading is 70% or less. If El Financiero does not publish that specific poll before November 30, 2026, the market is cancelled and positions are refunded. Deciding authority: the approval figure published by El Financiero for the October 2026 poll. The market closes at 05:59:00 UTC on November 1, 2026 (23:59 on October 31, Mexico City time).