Will the Chamber of Deputies pass the minors' social-media advertising reform before December 15, 2026?

Market context

On October 20, 2026 the Senate passed a bill amending the Federal Law on Protection of Personal Data Held by Private Parties to ban profiling and personalized advertising aimed at minors. The bill is in the Chamber of Deputies, with no committee report yet.

Resolution criteria

• How it resolvesResolves Yes if, between the moment this market's status changes to open on Pálpito and December 15, 2026 at 23:59 Mexico City time (05:59:00 UTC on December 16, 2026), the full Chamber of Deputies passes, at least in general terms, the bill amending the Federal Law on Protection of Personal Data Held by Private Parties passed by the Senate on October 20, 2026, which bans automated profiling and personalized advertising aimed at minors. The passage of a different initiative does not count, for example the one regulating the use of minors' images in political-electoral propaganda, nor a separate AI-profiling initiative that is not that bill. If the full chamber has not passed it by the deadline, it resolves No. Resolution source: the Gaceta Parlamentaria of the Chamber of Deputies (gaceta.diputados.gob.mx); backup source: the Diario de los Debates of the Chamber of Deputies; if neither publishes it clearly, at least two of Reuters, El Universal, Milenio, Reforma and Animal Político decide. Trading in this market closes on December 15, 2026 at 23:59 Mexico City time (05:59:00 UTC on December 16, 2026); the result is decided by the events up to the deadline, even if they become known after the close.
• When it closesDecember 16, 2026, 5:59 am UTC
• Verification sourcehttps://gaceta.diputados.gob.mx