In How Many of the 17 Governor Races in 2027 Will Morena, the PVEM and the PT Run Together?

Market context

Morena, the PVEM and the PT signed an alliance for 2027, but in San Luis Potosí the Green Party backs Ruth González and in Nuevo León it has not yet decided whether to run alone. In how many of the 17 governor races will all three nominate the same person?

Resolution criteria

• How it resolvesThis group resolves on the number of the 17 governorships elected in the 2027 ordinary election, scheduled for June 6, 2027 (Aguascalientes, Baja California, Baja California Sur, Campeche, Chihuahua, Colima, Guerrero, Michoacán, Nayarit, Nuevo León, Querétaro, Quintana Roo, San Luis Potosí, Sinaloa, Sonora, Tlaxcala and Zacatecas) in which Morena, the Ecologist Green Party of Mexico (PVEM) and the Labor Party (PT), all three, nominate the same person for governor, through a coalition or a joint candidacy, even if each party uses a different form. A state counts if, on April 30, 2027 at 23:59 Mexico City time (05:59:00 UTC on May 1, 2027), there is a governor candidate registration approved by the state electoral institute and in force for a person nominated at the same time by Morena, the PVEM and the PT; it counts even if other parties join. A replacement of the person counts if at that time the new joint registration is in force. A state does not count if at that time there is no joint registration in force, for any reason: a cancellation without replacement, a party leaving, or a decision of an institute or a court. A change after that time does not change the result. This option resolves Yes if that number is exactly 16. Resolves No in any other case. Resolution source: the candidate registration agreements of the electoral institutes of the 17 states; backup source: the candidate lookup systems of the state electoral institutes and the INE system Candidatas y Candidatos, Conóceles. Trading in this market closes on April 30, 2027 at 23:59 Mexico City time (05:59:00 UTC on May 1, 2027); the result is decided by the events up to the deadline, even if they become known after the close.
• When it closesMay 1, 2027 at 5:59 AM