In How Many of the 17 Governor Races in 2027 Will the PAN and the PRI Run Together?

Market context

The PAN and the PRI are negotiating alliances state by state ahead of 2027. Jorge Romero confirmed Nuevo León, and Alejandro Moreno says he wants to run together in all 17 governor races. In how many will they nominate the same person?

Resolution criteria

• How it resolvesThis group resolves on the number of the 17 governorships elected in the 2027 ordinary election, scheduled for June 6, 2027 (Aguascalientes, Baja California, Baja California Sur, Campeche, Chihuahua, Colima, Guerrero, Michoacán, Nayarit, Nuevo León, Querétaro, Quintana Roo, San Luis Potosí, Sinaloa, Sonora, Tlaxcala and Zacatecas) in which the National Action Party (PAN) and the Institutional Revolutionary Party (PRI) nominate the same person for governor, through a coalition or a joint candidacy, even if each party uses a different form. A state counts if, on April 30, 2027 at 23:59 Mexico City time (05:59:00 UTC on May 1, 2027), there is a governor candidate registration approved by the state electoral institute and in force for a person nominated at the same time by the PAN and the PRI; it counts even if other parties join. A replacement of the person counts if at that time the new joint registration is in force. A state does not count if at that time there is no joint registration in force, for any reason: a cancellation without replacement, a party leaving, or a decision of an institute or a court. A change after that time does not change the result. This option resolves Yes if that number is 4, 5, 6 or 7. Resolves No in any other case. Resolution source: the candidate registration agreements of the electoral institutes of the 17 states; backup source: the candidate lookup systems of the state electoral institutes and the INE system Candidatas y Candidatos, Conóceles. Trading in this market closes on April 30, 2027 at 23:59 Mexico City time (05:59:00 UTC on May 1, 2027); the result is decided by the events up to the deadline, even if they become known after the close.
• When it closesMay 1, 2027 at 5:59 AM
• Verification sourcehttps://www.ine.mx/voto-y-elecciones/opl/