Is Marcelo Ebrard Still Secretary of Economy on December 31, 2026?

Market context

Marcelo Ebrard leads the USMCA review on the Mexican side, the cabinet's most exposed negotiation. In a post like that, staying is not a given. This market tracks something simple: whether he is still head of the Ministry of Economy at the close of 2026.

Resolution criteria

• How it resolvesResolves Yes if Marcelo Ebrard Casaubón is the acting head of the Ministry of Economy of Mexico's federal government on December 31, 2026, 23:59 Mexico City time (05:59:00 UTC on January 1, 2027). Resolves No if before that date he resigns, is removed, changes position, or requests a leave granted or announced as longer than 30 calendar days (or if at the cutoff he is not acting as the sitting head), according to the Official Gazette of the Federation or an official announcement from the Presidency, even if the formal handover occurs later. A temporary absence without leaving the post (vacation, assignment, leave of 30 calendar days or fewer) does not count as a departure.