Will a category 3+ hurricane make landfall in Quintana Roo before November 30, 2026?

Market context

Quintana Roo, right in the Caribbean's hurricane alley, is one of the most exposed states. Will a category 3+ hurricane make direct landfall in the state before November 30, 2026? Take your position.

Resolution criteria

• How it resolvesResolves «Yes» if the SMN or the NHC confirm direct landfall of a category 3+ hurricane in the state of Quintana Roo between June 1 and November 30, 2026. Resolves «No» otherwise.
• When it closesDecember 1, 2026 at 5:59 AM
• Verification sourcehttps://smn.conagua.gob.mx