Who Wins the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize?

Market context

The 2026 Nobel Peace Prize is announced on October 9 in Oslo. There are 287 candidates and no clear favorite: the betting leader, Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms, sits at only about 14%. This market splits the options among the most-named candidates and an "Other" for the rest. Pick who you think has the best shot.

Resolution criteria

• How it resolvesResolves Yes if Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms is announced as the winner or co-winner of the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize by the Norwegian Nobel Committee on October 9, 2026. This is an exclusive market: only one option in the group resolves Yes. Confirmed by the official announcement of the Norwegian Nobel Committee (nobelpeaceprize.org). Resolves No if the winner is anyone else. The market closes at 08:59:00 UTC on October 9, 2026, minutes before the official announcement.
• When it closesOctober 9, 2026 at 9:00 AM
• Verification sourcehttps://www.nobelpeaceprize.org