Which Countries Will Pope Leo XIV Visit in 2026?

Market context

Pope Leo XIV has his first trip to South America planned for November 6 to 17: Uruguay, Argentina and Peru. On October 13 he had lung surgery and left the hospital on October 17; the Vatican says he wants to travel. Which countries will he reach before 2026 ends? Each country resolves separately.

Resolution criteria

• How it resolvesResolves Yes if Pope Leo XIV, already as Pope, physically travels to and is present within the territory of Peru between the opening of this market for trading (the date and time its status changes to open on Pálpito) and December 31, 2026 at 23:59 Mexico City time (05:59:00 UTC on January 1, 2027). The following do not count as a visit: flying over the country without landing; layovers during which he remains on the airplane; virtual or remote appearances; presence in international waters near the country; presence only within an embassy or consulate; and plans or announcements of visits that do not happen within the period. A visit happens only when he exits an aircraft, vehicle, vessel or train within the country, or physically enters the country not aboard one. Leaving the aircraft at an airport in the country counts as a visit, even if he then stays only at the Apostolic Nunciature. If the trip is postponed or cancelled, this option resolves No unless the visit happens within the period. Resolves No in any other case. Resolution source: the Holy See (vatican.va and Vatican News); backup source: Reuters. If the Holy See does not report, Reuters decides; if they contradict each other, the Holy See prevails. Trading in this market closes on October 25, 2026 at 23:59 Mexico City time (05:59:00 UTC on October 26, 2026); the result is decided by the events up to the deadline, even if they become known after the close.
• When it closesOctober 26, 2026 at 5:59 AM
• Verification sourcehttps://www.vaticannews.va