Fed: what does it do with its rate on December 9, 2026?

Market context

The U.S. decision that Mexico watches closely. After hiking in September and holding in October, the Fed reaches December with the range at 3.75% to 4.00% and inflation still high; the market bets on another hike. On December 9 it decides: hike, hold or cut? And whatever it does is felt the same day in the price of the dollar. Take your position.

Resolution criteria

• How it resolvesResolves "Yes" if the U.S. Federal Reserve, in its monetary policy decision of December 9, 2026 (FOMC statement, ~14:00 ET / 13:00 Mexico City time), sets a federal funds target range above the current range of 3.75% to 4.00%. Resolves "No" otherwise. Confirmed by the official FOMC statement.
• When it closesDecember 9, 2026 at 6:30 PM
• Verification sourcehttps://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm