Who wins the 2026 ATP Finals?

Market context

The eight qualifiers battle for the season finale in Turin, November 15 to 22, without Sinner, who is out for the rest of the year injured. Alcaraz arrives as the big favorite. Who lifts the trophy?

Resolution criteria

• How it resolvesResolves Yes if Carlos Alcaraz wins the 2026 Nitto ATP Finals. Resolves No in any other case, including if he does not play or withdraws from the tournament. The champion of the men's singles draw of the 2026 Nitto ATP Finals in Turin (November 15 to 22, 2026) counts: the player who wins the final according to the official ATP result, including a win by retirement or walkover. If the final is not played and the ATP proclaims a player champion, that champion counts. If the tournament is won by a player other than the eight in this group (for example, an alternate who enters for a withdrawal), every market in this group resolves No. If the tournament does not finish on or before November 29, 2026, due to postponement, cancellation or any other reason, every market in this group resolves No. Corrections published after the resolution do not change it. The markets in this group are mutually exclusive: at most one resolves Yes. Only what happens after this market opens counts. Primary source: official ATP result (atptour.com). Backup: ESPN.
• When it closesNovember 22, 2026, 12:59 pm UTC
• Verification sourcehttps://www.atptour.com/en/tournaments/nitto-atp-finals/605/overview