How many ounces of gold will one Bitcoin be worth at the close of October 2026?

Market context

Digital gold against real gold. On October 21, one Bitcoin was worth about 20 ounces of gold. How many will it be worth on Saturday, October 31 at 23:59 UTC? Measured with Bitcoin and PAX Gold on Binance, with no dollars in between. Pick your range.

Resolution criteria

• How it resolvesResolves Yes if the number of ounces of gold that one Bitcoin is worth at the close of October 2026 is GREATER THAN OR EQUAL TO 21.00. Resolves No otherwise. Ounces per Bitcoin = BTCUSDT price / PAXGUSDT price (PAX Gold, a token backed by one troy ounce of gold), rounded to 2 decimals (half rounds up). Each price is the 'close' field of the Binance spot 1-minute candle that opens at 23:59:00 UTC on Saturday, October 31, 2026 (17:59 Mexico City time). Source: Binance spot, public endpoint https://data-api.binance.vision/api/v3/klines?symbol=BTCUSDT&interval=1m (and symbol=PAXGUSDT for gold). The ranges are mutually exclusive and exhaustive; boundaries belong to the upper range: a value exactly equal to a boundary belongs to the range starting at that boundary. If Binance does not trade or a pair is unavailable at that instant, the CoinGecko USD prices of bitcoin and pax-gold nearest to that instant are used, with the same calculation.
• When it closesOctober 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM
• Verification sourcehttps://www.binance.com/en/trade/PAXG_USDT?type=spot