Geopolítica

¿Gana Lula la reelección presidencial en Brasil?

Cierra el 26 de octubre de 2026

Volumen: $626
Pálpitos: 97
Probabilidad: 61%Sí

Las probabilidades van de 0% a 100%.
Time	Sí	No
2026-06-16T23:27:48.000Z	53.0%	53.0%
2026-06-18T03:27:48.000Z	56.0%	53.0%
2026-06-19T03:27:48.000Z	56.0%	53.0%
2026-06-20T07:27:48.000Z	56.0%	53.0%
2026-06-21T11:27:48.000Z	56.0%	53.0%
2026-06-22T15:27:48.000Z	56.0%	53.0%
2026-06-23T15:27:48.000Z	56.0%	53.0%
2026-06-24T19:27:48.000Z	56.0%	53.0%
2026-06-25T23:27:48.000Z	56.0%	53.0%
2026-06-27T03:27:48.000Z	56.0%	53.0%
2026-06-28T03:27:48.000Z	50.0%	50.0%
2026-06-29T07:27:48.000Z	50.0%	50.0%
2026-06-30T11:27:48.000Z	50.0%	50.0%
2026-07-01T15:27:48.000Z	50.0%	50.0%
2026-07-02T15:27:48.000Z	50.0%	50.0%
2026-07-03T19:27:48.000Z	50.0%	50.0%
2026-07-04T23:27:48.000Z	50.0%	50.0%
2026-07-05T23:27:48.000Z	50.0%	50.0%
2026-07-07T03:27:48.000Z	50.0%	50.0%
2026-07-08T07:27:48.000Z	50.0%	50.0%
2026-07-09T11:27:48.000Z	50.0%	50.0%
2026-07-10T11:27:48.000Z	50.0%	50.0%
2026-07-11T15:27:48.000Z	50.0%	50.0%
2026-07-12T19:27:48.000Z	50.0%	50.0%
2026-07-13T23:27:48.000Z	50.0%	50.0%
2026-07-14T23:27:48.000Z	50.0%	50.0%
2026-07-16T03:27:48.000Z	50.0%	50.0%
2026-07-17T07:27:48.000Z	50.0%	50.0%
2026-07-18T11:27:48.000Z	50.0%	50.0%
2026-07-19T11:27:48.000Z	50.0%	50.0%
2026-07-20T15:27:48.000Z	50.0%	50.0%
2026-07-21T19:27:48.000Z	56.0%	44.0%
2026-07-22T23:27:48.000Z	56.0%	44.0%
2026-07-23T23:27:48.000Z	56.0%	44.0%
2026-07-25T03:27:48.000Z	56.0%	44.0%
2026-07-26T07:27:48.000Z	56.0%	44.0%
2026-07-27T07:27:48.000Z	56.0%	44.0%
2026-07-28T11:27:48.000Z	56.0%	44.0%
2026-07-29T15:27:48.000Z	56.0%	44.0%
2026-07-30T19:27:48.000Z	56.0%	44.0%
2026-07-31T19:27:48.000Z	56.0%	44.0%
2026-08-01T23:27:48.000Z	56.0%	44.0%
2026-08-03T03:27:48.000Z	56.0%	44.0%
2026-08-04T07:27:48.000Z	56.0%	44.0%
2026-08-05T07:27:48.000Z	56.0%	44.0%
2026-08-06T11:27:48.000Z	56.0%	44.0%
2026-08-07T15:27:48.000Z	56.0%	44.0%
2026-08-08T19:27:48.000Z	56.0%	44.0%
2026-08-09T19:27:48.000Z	56.0%	44.0%
2026-08-10T23:36:50.000Z	56.0%	44.0%

¿Gana Lula la reelección presidencial en Brasil?

Contexto del mercado

Criterios de resolución