Will Nvidia reach a $5 trillion market cap before December 31, 2026?

Market context

Nvidia has been the top-performing stock of the generative AI era, with a market cap estimated at ~$3.9T in August 2026. With the Hugging Face acquisition and its dominance in AI chips, some analysts project that NVDA could reach $5T before 2027.

Resolution criteria

• How it resolvesResolves YES if, in at least one session from when this market opens for trading (go-live) through the close of December 31, 2026 (New York time), Nvidia's (NVDA) market cap is greater than or equal to $5,000,000,000,000 USD, calculated as the official NASDAQ closing price times the shares outstanding reported in Nvidia's most recent 10-Q or 10-K. Resolves NO if the threshold is not reached at the close of any session in the period. Source: Yahoo Finance closing price (NVDA) and Nvidia Investor Relations shares outstanding. Backup: Bloomberg. The market closes on December 31, 2026 at 15:00 Mexico City time (21:00:00 UTC on December 31, 2026), which corresponds to the NASDAQ close (16:00 New York time).
• When it closesDecember 31, 2026 at 9:00 PM
• Verification sourceYahoo Finance NVDA (https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NVDA/)