Senate for the Federal District (Brasilia) 2026 | Pálpito
PolíticaIs Michelle Bolsonaro Certified as Elected to the Senate for the Federal District in 2026?
Is Michelle Bolsonaro Certified as Elected to the Senate for the Federal District in 2026?
Política
Is Michelle Bolsonaro Certified as Elected to the Senate for the Federal District in 2026?
Política
Is Michelle Bolsonaro Certified as Elected to the Senate for the Federal District in 2026?
Volume
$48
Pálpitos
32
Closes
Oct 5
Probability
53%·Yes
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Market context
Michelle Bolsonaro is leaving the role of an ex-president's wife to fight for her own seat in the Senate. The race is tight, vote by vote, against Leila do Vôlei. Will she win her first election in her own right?
Resolution criteria
How it resolvesResolves Yes if Michelle Bolsonaro is certified as elected to the Senate for the Federal District by the TSE, in the vote on October 4, 2026 (the Senate has no runoff). It also resolves No if the election does not take place on that date by December 31, 2026, whether due to postponement, cancellation, withdrawal of the candidate, or another extraordinary reason.
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