Is Michelle Bolsonaro Certified as Elected to the Senate for the Federal District in 2026?

Resolved

Politics

Resolved

Politics

Is Michelle Bolsonaro Certified as Elected to the Senate for the Federal District in 2026?

Volume: $72.64
Resolved: Oct 5
Result: Yes

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Market context

Michelle Bolsonaro is leaving the role of an ex-president's wife to fight for her own seat in the Senate. The race is tight, vote by vote, against Leila do Vôlei. Will she win her first election in her own right?

Resolution criteria

How it resolvesResolves Yes if Michelle Bolsonaro is certified as elected to the Senate for the Federal District by the TSE, in the vote on October 4, 2026 (the Senate has no runoff). It also resolves No if the election does not take place on that date by December 31, 2026, whether due to postponement, cancellation, withdrawal of the candidate, or another extraordinary reason.

Verification sourcehttps://www.tse.jus.br

Timeline & payout

Market opened · doneOn September 9, 2026
Market closed · doneOn October 5, 2026
The result was decided · doneOn October 5, 2026
Payout completed · doneMinutes after the result