Survivor Mexico 2026: Which Tribe Falls First?

OpenCloses on January 1, 2027Official resolution · https://www.tvazteca.com/aztecauno/survivor

Total volume

$217.00

Pálpitos

28

Favorite

Jaguares (yellow)53% Yes

Markets2

Jaguares (yellow)

$122.00 vol14 Pálpitos

53%↑3pts

Halcones (green)

$95.00 vol14 Pálpitos

53%↑3pts

Live

PriceSizeTotal

60¢43$69.63

57¢37$43.83

55¢24$22.74

Asks53¢18$9.54

Spread: 6¢

Bids47¢18$8.46

45¢24$19.26

43¢37$35.17

"Yes" resolves if the Jaguares (amarillo) tribe is the FIRST to lose a team immunity challenge and, therefore, the first sent to the season's council/elimination ceremony. "No" resolves if the first tribe sent to elimination is the Halcones (verde). Tie-breaker: if both tribes are exposed at the same event, or if production changes the format so the first elimination doesn't come from a per-tribe challenge, the reference is the first tribe to lose a group immunity contest; if a single tribe still can't be determined, the market is canceled. Applies ONLY to the tribal phase, before the merge. Confirmed by the official TV Azteca broadcast. Trading closes at the start of the first tribal immunity challenge (official date per TV Azteca); as a backstop, no later than December 31, 2026, 23:59 (Mexico City time).

Source: https://www.tvazteca.com/aztecauno/survivor